Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro:

The test of the 1.1701 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly above the zero line, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The second test at 1.1701 triggered Scenario #2 for selling euros, but the pair did not fall as expected.

The revised April data on the ISM services sector business activity index weighed on the dollar. The initial reading of 53.7 points was adjusted down to 53.6 points. This decrease was unexpected for market participants who had been counting on continued positive trends in business activity. Financial markets quickly reacted to this news, prompting a weakening of the US currency against other major currencies, including the euro.

Today, significant data is expected that could have a substantial impact on the state of financial markets. In particular, investors will be focused on the services sector business activity index, the composite PMI index, and producer price index data. These indicators play a key role in assessing the current state of economic activity in the Eurozone and allow for forecasting future trends. The services sector PMI and the composite index reflect economic dynamics. Values exceeding 50 usually indicate an increase in growth rates, while readings below this mark indicate a slowdown or contraction.

Data on the producer price index is also very significant. This indicator reflects inflationary pressures at early stages of production and can serve as a leading signal for future consumer inflation.

Regarding the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on the implementation of Scenarios #1 and #2.

Buy Scenarios

Scenario #1: Today, I can buy euros at a price around 1.1740 (green line on the chart), with a target increase to 1.1759. At the point of 1.1759, I plan to exit the market and also sell euros immediately on the rebound, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips from the entry point. The euro's rise can only be anticipated after good news is released. Important! Before buying, ensure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and is just beginning to rise from there.

Scenario #2: I also intend to buy euros today if the price tests 1.1728 twice in a row while the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward market reversal. An increase to opposing levels of 1.1740 and 1.1757 can be expected.

Sell Scenarios

Scenario #1: I plan to sell euros once the price reaches 1.1728 (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1710, at which I intend to exit the market and buy immediately on the rebound (expecting a 20-25-point move in the opposite direction). Pressure on the pair can return at any moment today. Important! Before selling, ensure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and is just beginning to decline from there.

Scenario #2: I also plan to sell euros today if the price tests 1.1740 twice in a row, when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a market reversal downward. A decrease to opposing levels of 1.1728 and 1.1710 can be expected.

What is on the Chart:

• The thin green line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be bought;
• The thick green line – approximate price where take profit can be set or to realize profit, as further growth above this level is unlikely;
• The thin red line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be sold;
• The thick red line – approximate price where take profit can be set or to realize profit, as further decline below this level is unlikely;
• MACD indicator. When entering the market, it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Beginner traders in the Forex market need to make entry decisions very cautiously. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade in large volumes.

And remember, for successful trading, it is essential to have a clear trading plan, as outlined above. Making impulsive trading decisions based on the current market situation is fundamentally a losing strategy for an intraday trader.