empty
 
 
08.05.2025 11:12 AM
EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair is falling below the psychological level of 1.1300.

This image is no longer relevant
The election of Friedrich Merz as Chancellor of Germany reduces uncertainty regarding the economic strength of the Eurozone, thereby providing support for the euro. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is struggling to find meaningful support despite the Federal Reserve's hawkish pause on Wednesday. This creates an additional positive backdrop for the EUR/USD pair.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that there is considerable uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade tariffs and that, under current conditions, it is more prudent to wait for further clarity. This suggests that the central bank is not planning to cut rates in the near term. However, the economic uncertainty caused by trade tariffs has forced dollar bulls into a more cautious, defensive position. Investors remain wary due to the rapidly shifting trade policies under President Trump. Reports that the European Union might impose tariffs on Boeing aircraft in the event of failed negotiations with the U.S. increase the risk of further escalation in the trade conflict. This also discourages traders from buying the single currency in the EUR/USD pair.

This image is no longer relevant
Today, to seize better trading opportunities, attention should be paid to the release of the U.S. weekly jobless claims data. During the U.S. session, a press conference by Trump is scheduled to take place in the Oval Office, which may provide momentum for the pair. Additionally, the speech by ECB Supervisory Board member Tuominen is expected to impact market volatility.

Technical Outlook:

If the pair falls below the support level at 1.1265, the next stop will be the psychological level of 1.1200. A break below this level will open the way for deeper losses.

The resistance level is at 1.1375; above that lies a supply zone at 1.1425. If the pair manages to consolidate in this zone, it may target the round number 1.1500, with the ambition of retesting last month's high near 1.1570 and possibly extending toward 1.1600.

So far, daily chart oscillators have not crossed into negative territory, which means the EUR/USD pair still has a chance to reverse north. Nevertheless, attention should be paid to shorter timeframes, where the oscillators have already moved into the negative zone

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit akaun anda sebanyak $3,000 dan dapatkan $9000 lebih lagi!
    Dalam Mei kami membuat cabutan bertuah $9000 dalam Kempen Chancy Deposit!
    Dapatkan peluang untuk menang dengan membuat deposit $ 3000 ke dalam akaun dagangan. Setelah memenuhi syarat ini, anda menjadi peserta kempen.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Daftar untuk peraduan dan tambah dana akaun anda dengan sekurang-kurangnya AS$ 500 untuk layak memenangi peranti mudah alih.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Bonus 100%
    Peluang istimewa anda untuk menerima bonus 100% pada deposit anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS
  • Bonus 55%
    Dapatkan bonus 55% pada setiap deposit anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS
  • Bonus 30%
    Dapatkan bonus 30% setiap kali anda membuat penambahan dana akaun anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget