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12.02.2025 03:08 PM
XAG/USD: Analysis and Forecast

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Silver remains directionless, fluctuating within a narrow range just below the key $32.00 level. The market is showing little movement as traders await the release of U.S. consumer inflation data before committing to directional positions.

From a technical perspective, the recent breakout above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and positive oscillators on the daily chart suggest that the path of least resistance for XAG/USD could be to the upside. However, repeated failures to break above the $32.30 resistance level call for caution among bulls. A sustained move beyond this level would confirm a bullish outlook and pave the way for further short-term gains.

If silver prices manage to surpass the monthly high near $32.65, the metal could reclaim the psychological $33.00 level. Continued bullish momentum may push prices towards the next key resistance at $33.50, and if breached, silver could extend gains toward $34.00 and the $34.45 level, aligning with the multi-year high reached in October.

On the other hand, yesterday's swing low near $31.23, along with the 100-day SMA, is expected to act as strong support for XAG/USD. A break below the psychological $31.00 level could shift the short-term bias in favor of bears, exposing silver to deeper losses. In this scenario, the metal could decline toward the critical $30.00 mark, with minor support levels along the way.

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Irina Yanina
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