Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British Pound

The test of the 1.3280 price coincided with a period when the MACD indicator had risen significantly from the zero mark, which limited the pair's bullish potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound.

Yesterday's rumors acted like a spark, instantly restoring demand for riskier assets in financial markets. Expectations of a diplomatic resolution to tensions between the US and Iran, although not officially confirmed, had a noticeable impact on the value of the US dollar. Investors, tired of uncertainty and potential geopolitical risks, saw a glimmer of hope in the possibility of decreasing hostility, which traditionally weighs down the dollar.

Given that today's trading session in the UK will proceed calmly, as macroeconomic data do not forecast significant events, the absence of scheduled releases of important indicators suggests market participants will likely follow yesterday's trends. Recall that in the second half of Monday, the British pound showed significant strengthening against the US dollar, and this trend may continue to develop.

Regarding the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on implementing scenarios #1 and #2.

Buying Scenarios

Scenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today when it reaches an entry point around 1.3314 (green line on the chart), targeting a move to 1.3346 (thicker green line on the chart). At around 1.3346, I intend to exit my long positions and immediately sell in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 30-35 pips back from the level). One can expect the pound to rise today, in line with yesterday's trend. Important! Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just starting an upward move from it.

Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound today if there are two consecutive tests of the price 1.3290 when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the downward potential of the pair and lead to a market reversal upwards. One can expect growth to the opposite levels of 1.3314 and 1.3346.

Selling Scenarios

Scenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after the price updates to 1.3290 (red line on the chart), which will lead to a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be the level of 1.3264, where I intend to exit my short positions and immediately buy in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 20-25 pips back from the level). The absence of data may be exploited by sellers, who could show up at any moment within the bearish market. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just starting its downward move.

Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound today if there are two consecutive tests of the price 1.3314 when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the upward potential of the pair and lead to a market reversal downwards. One can expect a decline to the opposite levels of 1.3290 and 1.3264.

What's on the Chart:

• The thin green line represents the entry price at which you can buy the trading instrument;
• The thick green line is the assumed price where you can set Take Profit or manually take profit, as further growth above this level is unlikely;
• The thin red line indicates the entry price at which you can sell the trading instrument;
• The thick red line is the assumed price where you can set Take Profit or manually take profit, as further decline below this level is unlikely;
• The MACD indicator. When entering the market, it's important to refer to the overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Beginner traders in the forex market need to make entry decisions very carefully. It is best to stay out of the market before the release of important fundamental reports to avoid sharp fluctuations in prices. If you choose to trade during the release of news, always set Stop Loss orders to minimize losses. Without placing Stop Loss orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for intraday traders.