empty
 
 
22.09.2025 07:54 AM
EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, Monday, marks the fourth consecutive day of negative sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, although it is attempting to reverse the trend by trading around the 1.1730 level. The pair's weakness is linked to continued dollar strength following last week's Federal Reserve rate cut. While the Fed did lower the rate for the first time, it did not emphasize the need for an accelerated pace of easing in the coming months. Investors are now awaiting eurozone consumer sentiment data, as well as speeches from a European Central Bank (ECB) representative and members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scheduled for today.

This image is no longer relevant
Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted at the post-meeting press conference that increasing signs of labor market weakness prompted the rate cut decision. The Fed had held rates steady since December due to inflation concerns fueled by tariffs. Powell emphasized that there is no need for swift changes in monetary policy, and the Federal Reserve will make decisions based on data at each upcoming meeting. The Fed's "dot plot" forecasts two additional rate cuts by year-end.

The EUR/USD pair is also under pressure due to worsening conditions within the Eurozone. Last week, massive protests erupted across major cities in France, with hundreds of thousands of citizens rallying against spending cut proposals by former Prime Minister Francois Bayrou. Protesters called on President Emmanuel Macron and newly appointed Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu to abandon the proposed austerity plans.

Meanwhile, ECB Governing Council member Mario Centeno stated on Friday that a rate cut is likely the next step. He stressed that inflation should not remain below the 2% target for too long, noting that risks to inflation still remain tilted to the downside.

From a technical standpoint, despite the ongoing decline in the pair, oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory, contradicting the negative overall outlook.

If prices manage to hold above the 1.1730 level, they will likely attempt another move toward the psychological 1.1800 level. However, a drop below the 1.1700 level would increase the odds in favor of the bears.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $3000 more!
    In September we raffle $3000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback