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11.08.2025 05:01 AM
2025年8月11日澳元/美元匯率預測

澳元已達到日均衡指標線,並開始進行盤整。同時,Marlin振盪指標轉入正區域,亦開始盤整。形成上行突破的條件,進一步將攻擊首個目標區,即MACD線附近的0.6580。

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然而,如果我們不考慮周線圖而僅查看AUD/USD的圖表,我們可能會得出錯誤的結論。在周線圖上,我們觀察到價格已經在MACD線下方穩定下來,並且在週五時,價格從下方測試了這條線,並出現了K線的上影線。這樣的形態通常會導致向下反轉。Marlin振盪指標正在下降。即使價格突破上週的高點並站上MACD線,也會立即面臨內嵌的綠色價格通道線的阻力。稍高於這條線的為每日的MACD線(0.6580)。

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多頭只有在獲得強大的基本面支持時才能承擔如此具有挑戰性的任務。在當前的政治動盪中,此類支持可能會出現,但如果價格未能穩固在0.6580以上,這將被證明是虛假的。因此,我們預計情況將在本週結束前變得更加明朗。主要情況仍然看跌。

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在四小時圖上,MACD線呈水平移動。在緩解壓力後,Marlin振盪器也開始在零線之上側向移動。價格本身處於中性狀態,這種情況可能會持續幾天。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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