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16.05.2025 06:38 PM
美元/日圓(USD/JPY)分析與預測
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日圓的多頭並沒有受到日本第一季度令人失望的GDP報告顯著影響,這主要是因為市場對日本央行在2025年再次加息的預期增強。此外,美日之間可能達成貿易協議的希望,令日圓對美元的相對強勢已經持續了第四天。

然而,美中貿易協議的樂觀情緒限制了對避險貨幣日圓的需求,幫助美元/日圓組合保持在145.00的心理水平之上。與此同時,由於市場預計美國聯邦儲備局將進一步降息,美國疲弱的宏觀經濟數據也加強了這一預期,導致美國美元難以吸引大量買家。

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從技術面來看,日線圖上的震盪指標尚未轉為負值,且價格成功守住了145.00的水平。這使人們對該組合能夠突破亞洲時段高點145.70,進一步邁向146.00的整數位保持樂觀。任何進一步的上行皆可視為賣出機會,可能受限在146.60水平附近。

另一方面,如果未能保持在145.00水平之上,將使該組合面臨更深的損失,並轉變市場預期偏向空頭。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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